How rarity works

Every number follows fixed, published points. The model computes the examples itself.

Model
3.0.0
Catalog
2026.10.03-2
Word data
2026.10.02-2+8e88ed51b576
Contents
  1. At a glance
  2. An example
  3. Name
  4. Capes
  5. Collection
  6. Rarity
  7. What does not count
  8. Known weaknesses
  9. Data and licences
  10. Changelog

At a glance

The rarest cape counts in full, the second rarest half. The parts are combined, not added.

Next to the skin, capes and name history, every profile also shows how rare the account is: a number from 0 to 100 and one of five tiers, calculated from the name and the capes alone. We name no money value for any account.

What we cannot see does not count. While capes and names are not fully loaded, the rarity is therefore a lower bound.

An example

An invented account, calculated by the model itself. A click on the rarity opens the breakdown, as on every profile page.

"Wandered" with Pan, Migrator, 15th Anniversary, Vanilla, Cherry Blossom, Purple Heart, Follower's, Menace, Home, Founder's

How rare "Wandered" is

46of 100
  1. NameWord, second tier: inflected form+35
  2. Founder's176,242 owners, no longer available, counts in full+9
  3. Cherry Blossom577,618 owners, no longer available, counts half+3
  4. Purple Heart507,094 owners, no longer available, counts in the collection5 pts
  5. Follower's478,772 owners, no longer available, counts in the collection5 pts
  6. Vanilla689,534 owners, no longer available, counts in the collection4 pts
  7. 5 capes15th Anniversary, Menace, Home, Migrator, Pancounts in the collection
  8. Collection10 capes, 8 of them count in full+6
Rarity46 of 100

Calculation: Name 35, rarest cape 9, second cape 5 at half, collection 6 → 46 of 100

More cases

From an everyday name to a rare cape: how points and tiers spread.

  • VelmoraFounder'sStandard12 of 100
  • Harborno capesRare60 of 100
  • HarborMineCon 2011Unique86 of 100
  • ZqMigratorUnique90 of 100
  • HypixelFounder'sStandard9 of 100
  • xX_Kevin2009_Xxno capes, first lookupStandard0 of 100

Name

A name is classified by its structure (length, digits, patterns, whether it can be pronounced) and by its meaning (word, first name, gaming term). The higher class counts, and every class has fixed points, up to 90.

Capitalisation, digits and underscores around a word do not make a name rarer.

How the model classifies

Names we do not rate

Offensive names, brands and names of well-known people: Mojang can take them away. The page then says "not rated"; they add no points.

Names of one or two characters and names with characters that are no longer allowed get the most points, because they are not issued any more.

A name Mojang has flagged for a forced change adds no points.

Position inside the class

Inside a class a name sits between 0.10 and 0.90: the shorter and more common, the higher. The position only decides between two classes of the same rank; it never changes the points.

Capes

Every cape has fixed points in the catalog: the fewer accounts have it and the longer it has been unavailable, the more. The rarest cape of an account counts in full, the second rarest half.

Freely available capes add hardly any points and do not count towards the collection; code capes count a quarter there.

Four capes from the catalog

Capes we have not rated yet

When a cape closes before we have rated it, its points follow its owner count: the fewer owners, the more points, 45 at most.

All capes with their points

49 capes, catalog 2026.10.03-2.

CapeStatusOwnersWeightPoints
Panstill availablestill available3,379,37600
Commonstill availablestill available1,462,06601
Migratorclosedclosed6,116,72212
15th Anniversaryclosedclosed1,557,16813
Vanillaclosedclosed689,53414
Cherry Blossomclosedclosed577,61815
Purple Heartclosedclosed507,09415
Follower'sclosedclosed478,77215
Menacecodes on salecodes on sale431,3480.253
Coppercodes on salecodes on sale284,5620.253
Homecodes on salecodes on sale273,4780.253
Buildercodes on salecodes on sale173,9760.253
Aurorastill availablestill available69,31301
Herostill availablestill available22,79701
Zombie Horseclosedclosed153,56116
Twistedclosedclosed33,751110
Yearnclosedclosed176,30618
Mojang Officeclosedclosed208,63918
MCC 15th Yearclosedclosed130,41319
Founder'sclosedclosed176,24219
Minecraft Experiencecodes on salecodes on sale57,575115
Moonlight Trailcodes on salerare capecodes on sale10,501125
Crafterclosedrare capeclosed5,897140
MineCon 2016closedrare capeclosed7,266150
MineCon 2015closedrare capeclosed6,807150
MineCon 2013closedrare capeclosed6,172150
MineCon 2012closedrare capeclosed4,063155
MineCon 2011closedrare capeclosed3,540165
Realms Mapmakerclosedrare capeclosed427170
Mojangclosedrare capeclosed214180
Mojang Studiosclosedrare capeclosed207180
Translatorclosedrare capeclosed106180
Mojira Moderatorclosedrare capeclosed51182
Mojang (Classic)closedrare capeclosed29188
Cobaltclosedrare capeclosed18190
Scrollsclosedrare capeclosed9192
Translator (Chinese)closedrare capeclosed3195
Turtleclosedrare capeclosed3195
Testclosedrare capeclosed2195
Valentineclosedrare capeclosed2195
Birthdayclosedrare capeclosed1197
dBclosedrare capeclosed1197
Documentclosedrare capeclosed1197
Millionth Customerclosedrare capeclosed1197
Oxeyeclosedrare capeclosed1197
Prismarineclosedrare capeclosed1197
Snowmanclosedrare capeclosed1197
Spadeclosedrare capeclosed1197
Translator (Japanese)closedrare capeclosed1197

Collection

Above 6 full-weight capes every further one adds 4 points, 40 at most.

Freely available capes do not count, code capes a quarter each and together at most like 1 cape. Buying cheap capes therefore makes an account hardly any rarer.

Rarity

The parts are not added but combined like probabilities: each one closes part of the gap to 100. Two rare things give more than one, never more than 100, and another cape can never lower the rarity.

Rarity = 100 × (1 − (1 − name) × (1 − rarest cape) × (1 − ½ × second cape) × (1 − collection)), each part as a share of 100.

The tier follows from the score: Notable from 15, Collectible from 35, Rare from 60, Unique from 85.

Collection: 4 points per full-weight cape above 6, 40 at most.

What does not count

What does not change the rarity

  • An account verified with us.
  • Index+.
  • Claims such as "full access".
  • The skin.
  • Former names and the age of the account.
  • Searches and view counts.
  • Ranks, statistics and cosmetics on servers.

We name no money value for any account.

Invisible from outside, so never part of the calculation

  • Ranks, statistics and cosmetics on servers do not count towards the rarity.
  • A cape that was never worn in public is invisible to everyone. The cape list is a minimum.

Known weaknesses

What the model does not know or does badly, the most important first.

Owner counts are lower bounds.

Only accounts that wore a cape in public are counted. How rare staff capes and one-offs really are, we therefore know only roughly.

The block and brand lists are incomplete.

An offensive name or a brand that is on no list is rated like an ordinary name.

Word frequency comes from film subtitles.

Literary words are underrated, surnames of TV characters overrated. The top word class is protected against the latter.

Renaming to a free word raises the rarity.

Words of eleven letters or more therefore stay in the second word class, and a name younger than 30 days is flagged.

Pronounceability is a rough rule.

It lets more through than many would call "clean". The points for it are set low.

First names and gaming terms come from lists.

The lists are not complete; what is missing counts as an ordinary name.

English and German only.

Words of other languages count as ordinary names; German words sit one class below English ones.

Proper nouns count as ordinary words.

Cities and countries from subtitles are rated like English words.

Unmigrated accounts.

We do not know whether they can still be signed in to. They get a caveat, not a deduction.

Data and licences

None of these sources is fetched at run time; the word data is a fixed part of every model release.

All sources
SourceUsed forRelease and licence
SUBTLEX-USfrequency of English words from film subtitles (74,286 entries)npm package subtlex-word-frequencies 2.0.0, ISCfrequency of English words from film subtitles (74,286 entries)npm package subtlex-word-frequencies 2.0.0, ISC
zxcvbn-ts, language packages English and Germanranked lists of English and German words, lists of first names@zxcvbn-ts/language-en and -de 4.1.1, MITranked lists of English and German words, lists of first names@zxcvbn-ts/language-en and -de 4.1.1, MIT
stdlib first-name listsEnglish first names@stdlib/datasets-female-first-names-en and -male- 0.2.3, Apache-2.0English first names@stdlib/datasets-female-first-names-en and -male- 0.2.3, Apache-2.0
wink-lemmatizerbase form of an English word, once, when the word data is built3.0.4, MITbase form of an English word, once, when the word data is built3.0.4, MIT
List of Dirty, Naughty, Obscene, and Otherwise Bad Wordsseed of the blocklistnpm package naughty-words 1.2.0, CC BY 4.0, by Shutterstock, Inc. and contributors; reduced by an allow-listseed of the blocklistnpm package naughty-words 1.2.0, CC BY 4.0, by Shutterstock, Inc. and contributors; reduced by an allow-list
Owner counts of capesrating of the capes; points for capes we have not rated yetobserved, as of the catalog releaserating of the capes; points for capes we have not rated yetobserved, as of the catalog release
How the model changes

Points, weights and tier thresholds change only with a new release of the model or the catalog, and every release is in the changelog. Every rating names the versions it was calculated with.

Changelog

Rarity only

Released 7 October 2026
  • Accounts no longer get a money value, only the rarity from 0 to 100 and its tier.
  • Points, weights and tier thresholds are unchanged: every rarity is the same as with release 2.0.0.

Rare capes recorded anew

Released 3 October 2026
  • MineCon, event and staff capes were recorded anew; personal one-offs are in the catalog with points of their own.
  • Very common short words, common dictionary words and three-character names were classified anew.

Offensive names and well-known people

Released 3 October 2026
  • Slurs and Nazi terms are also recognised in the plural, in "-er" forms and inside compounds, in English and German. Such names are not rated.
  • Names of well-known Minecraft people such as Notch, jeb_, Skeppy or Gronkh are no longer rated like ordinary names.
  • God, Dad and Mom now count as top words. Before, they sat one class lower because subtitles mostly capitalise them.

First release

Released 2 October 2026
  • First published release of the model with 18 name classes and 49 capes.
  • Words and first names of eleven letters or more cannot leave the second word class.
  • Brands, names of well-known people and offensive names are shown as "not rated".
  • How popular a first name is follows the higher of its English and German frequency.
  • All code capes together count as at most one cape in the collection.